Ibovespa falls by 0.68% in the final trading day of June due to declines in Petrobras and the retail sector, while the dollar ends the day at R $ 5.16.

Summary

• Ibovespa closed the final June trading session down by 0.68% at 172,024.12 points, with a trading volume of R$ 22.70 billion.
• Petrobras experienced the biggest decrease, with PETR3 dropping by 1.18% and PETR4 declining by 0.73% following a 0.31% decrease in Brent oil.
• The commercial dollar ended the day down by 0.23%, closing at R$ 5.163, with a total devaluation of almost 5.6% in 2026.
• Wall Street concluded the first half of the year with its strongest performance in five years, as Nasdaq increased by 11% and Russell 2000 surged by more than 21%.
• Lula advocated for boosting Mercosur during the summit of the bloc, stating that nobody has ownership over South America.
• The federal government announced a slow reduction in emergency fuel subsidies.

The Ibovespa finished June with a decline due to Petrobras underperforming and investor caution regarding domestic taxes. Meanwhile, US markets saw gains and ended the first half of 2026 with their strongest performance in five years.

The primary B3 index closed at 172,024.12 points, with fluctuations between 170,538.48 and 173,204.72 points, marking a 0.68% change. The trading volume for the session amounted to R$ 22.70 billion.

Investor sentiment in Brazil was impacted by the release of economic data. This included the unexpected increase of 72,960 formal jobs in May and the government’s high gross debt, which amounted to 81.2% of GDP. The federal government also announced plans to slowly reduce emergency fuel subsidies.

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva emphasized the need to boost Mercosur during the block’s summit, asserting that “South America belongs to no one” in the face of trade disputes with the United States.

The dollar decreased in value, but ended the semester above R$ 5.

The commercial dollar closed the session down 0.23% at R$ 5.163, marking its second consecutive decline. Despite the daily setback, the U.S. currency finished the first half of the year above R$ 5, after partially recovering from earlier losses.

• The cost of the purchase is 5,162 Brazilian Reais.
• For sale at a price of five thousand one hundred and sixty-three Brazilian Reais.
• The minimum amount is five thousand one hundred and sixty-two Brazilian Reais.
• The highest amount is $5,201.

Purchase cost: R$ 5,162

For sale: Five thousand one hundred and sixty-three Brazilian reais

The minimum amount is $5,162.

Maximum amount: R$ 5,201

The DXY index, which gauges the dollar’s strength against a basket of strong currencies, increased by 0.08% to reach 101.18 points.

Despite experiencing a devaluation of around 5.6% against the real in 2026, the dollar saw a significant turnaround in the market during the last two months, climbing back above R$ 5 after dropping to R$ 4.89 in April due to shifts in the global landscape, as stated by exchange expert Bruno Yamashita.

The primary reason for this market movement was the shift in US monetary policy following the leadership change at the Federal Reserve. This led to expectations of sustained American interest rates and potential highs, resulting in a stronger dollar against various currencies.

Yamashita highlights that in Brazil, exchange rates have been affected by the outlook for monetary policy. He suggests that the perceived trajectory of Central Bank interest rates has diminished the appeal of the real currency to some extent in recent months.

Wall Street concludes a significant semester.

The primary stock indexes in the United States ended the day on a high note, marking the strongest first half of the year since 2021.

• Dow Jones rose by 0.26% to reach 52,317.81 points.
• S&P 500 rose by 0.79% to reach 7,499.12 points.
• Nasdaq is up by 1.52% at 26,213.72 points.

Dow Jones rose by 0.26% to reach 52,317.81 points.

S&P 500 rose by 0.79% to reach 7,499.12 points.

Nasdaq is up by 1.52% at 26,213.72 points.

Dow Jones and S&P 500 rose by more than 8% in the initial half of the year, with Nasdaq posting gains of over 11%. The small caps index Russell 2000 surged by more than 21%, marking its strongest first half since 1991.

Oil prices decrease

Future oil agreements concluded the autumn session.

• Brent in August decreased by 0.31% to $72.92.
• WTI crude oil for August decreased by 1.77% to $69.50.

Brent in August decreased by 0.31% to $72.92.

WTI for August decreased by 1.77% to reach $69.50.

The decline in commodity prices also influenced the movements related to the oil and gas industry on the Brazilian Stock Exchange.

Petrobras increases its losses.

Petrobras shut down its operations due to changes in the global oil market.

• PETR3 decreased by 1.18%.
• PETR4 decreased by 0.73%.

PETR3 decreased by 1.18%.

PETR4 decreased by 0.73%.

Sector performance

The clothing store faced challenges during the auction.

• AZA3: decreased by 2.72%
• CEAB3 experienced a decrease of 2.27%.
• LREN3: decreased by 1.40%

AZA3 decreased by 2.72%.

CEAB3: a decrease of 2.27%

LREN3 decreased by 1.40%.

The paper and cellulose industry showed a combination of positive and negative results.

• SUZB3: Increased by 0.25%
• KLBN11 decreased by 0.71%.
• RANI3 decreased by 0.76%.

SUZB3 increased by 0.25%.

KLBN11 experienced a decrease of 0.71%.

RANI3 decreased by 0.76%.

Highest point of Ibovespa

• NATU3 increased by 2.89%.
• EMBJ3 increased by 2.32%.
• POMO4 increased by 1.19%.
• USIM5 has increased by 1.08%.
• YDUQ3 increased by 0.90%.

NATU3 increased by 2.89%.

EMBJ3 increased by 2.32%.

POMO4: an increase of 1.19%

USIM5 has increased by 1.08%.

YDUQ3 increased by 0.90%.

Ibovespa experiences reduced losses.

• BRKM5 decreased by 3.18%.
• ASAI3 decreased by 2.78%.
• AZA3 decreased by 2.72%.
• VAMO3 decreased by 2.43%.
• CEAB3 dropped by 2.27%.

BRKM5: decreased by 3.18%

ASAI3 decreased by 2.78%.

AZA3 decreased by 2.72%.

VAMO3 decreased by 2.43%.

CEAB3 has decreased by 2.27%.

Yamashita predicts that the dollar’s performance in the second half will be mainly affected by US monetary policy and the electoral landscape, with a focus on the presidential elections and Federal Reserve decisions regarding inflation and Middle East conflicts.

It is recommended to gradually purchase US dollars rather than making decisions based solely on market timing in order to effectively diversify internationally and protect long-term assets.

• Market place
• Central Bank
• Dollar
• Federal Reserve
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
• Oil